Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +22.3% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Benn 59.9% (-22.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 78.7%
Defensive zone
Benn 50.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 64.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Bedard
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bedard
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Bedard
Benn
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
62.6% (479)
-23.7%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
58.4% (190)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
58.1% (43)
-33.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Benn is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Bedard
Benn
Home
40.2% (246)
60.5% (349)
Away
37.8% (286)
62.0% (363)
By Period
Bedard
Benn
P1
39.9%
60.8%
P2
38.5%
60.1%
P3
39.0%
62.4%
OT
25.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
61.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |