Connor Bedard vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Ek 48.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 53.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 58.9%
Neutral zone
Ek 61.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Bedard
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Bedard
Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Bedard
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Ek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Ek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
47.2% (815)
-3.0%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
53.8% (266)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
47.8% (180)
+6.0%
On power play, Bedard has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Ek is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Bedard
Ek
Home
50.7% (223)
49.9% (693)
Away
42.2% (270)
47.2% (568)
By Period
Bedard
Ek
P1
40.8%
46.2%
P2
48.2%
52.6%
P3
48.0%
46.5%
OT
57.1%
54.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |