Connor Bedard vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Ek 47.4% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 66.2%
Defensive zone
Bedard 67.6%
Neutral zone
Bedard 65.9%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Bedard
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bedard
Ek
Last 7: Bedard 2-5 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Ek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
1
4
Bedard
Ek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
47.6% (609)
-9.6%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
53.3% (152)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
34.9% (106)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Ek is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Bedard
Ek
Home
40.5% (316)
49.2% (331)
Away
36.2% (340)
45.7% (536)
By Period
Bedard
Ek
P1
37.2%
38.7%
P2
36.9%
52.9%
P3
40.7%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.4%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:22 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |