Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.7% vs 40.3%). Bedard wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Brown 43.0% (+0.4%)
Offensive zone
Brown 52.0%
Defensive zone
Bedard 61.1%
Neutral zone
Brown 50.4%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Bedard
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
39.7% (237)
+0.4%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
57.1% (7)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
42.9% (14)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Bedard is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Bedard shoots right. Brown is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Bedard
Brown
Home
43.3% (785)
41.2% (148)
Away
38.5% (896)
39.1% (110)
By Period
Bedard
Brown
P1
39.0%
36.6%
P2
40.7%
43.0%
P3
42.6%
41.2%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Brown
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.3%