Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Porter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Porter 41.2% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 54.2%
Defensive zone
Bedard 50.1%
Neutral zone
Bedard 52.0%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Bedard
Porter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Porter
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
39.2% (469)
+0.9%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
55.6% (18)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
36.2% (47)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Porter shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Bedard shoots right. Porter is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Bedard
Porter
Home
43.3% (785)
41.6% (274)
Away
38.5% (896)
37.3% (260)
By Period
Bedard
Porter
P1
39.0%
37.1%
P2
40.7%
44.9%
P3
42.6%
36.7%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%