Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cooley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Cooley 45.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Cooley 58.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 69.8%
Neutral zone
Bedard 51.7%
Result
Logan Cooley favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Bedard
Cooley
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Bedard
Cooley
Last 10: Bedard 6-4 Cooley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
4
2
Bedard
Cooley
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
0
1
Bedard
Cooley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bedard
Cooley
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Cooley
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
43.9% (392)
+0.3%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
46.5% (71)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
57.1% (7)
-3.3%
On power play, Bedard has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cooley shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Cooley is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Bedard
Cooley
Home
50.7% (223)
45.0% (211)
Away
42.2% (270)
44.0% (259)
By Period
Bedard
Cooley
P1
40.8%
44.0%
P2
48.2%
49.7%
P3
48.0%
38.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Logan Cooley |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |