Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs McTavish 50.6% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 61.3%
Defensive zone
Bedard 55.4%
Neutral zone
McTavish 56.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Bedard
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Bedard
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Bedard
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
McTavish
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
51.1% (769)
-13.1%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
50.6% (178)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
28.6% (14)
+28.5%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. McTavish is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Bedard
McTavish
Home
40.5% (316)
52.3% (461)
Away
36.2% (340)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Bedard
McTavish
P1
37.2%
51.5%
P2
36.9%
54.0%
P3
40.7%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |