Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 47.7% vs Beniers 49.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 68.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 56.5%
Neutral zone
Beniers 63.8%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Bedard
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bedard
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (283)
48.8% (647)
-3.9%
Power Play
76.2% (21)
53.8% (26)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
50.0% (32)
-4.5%
On power play, Bedard has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Bedard is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Bedard shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Bedard
Beniers
Home
52.4% (145)
52.7% (357)
Away
42.4% (170)
45.4% (348)
By Period
Bedard
Beniers
P1
37.9%
47.9%
P2
48.6%
51.9%
P3
53.2%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
47.0%
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |