Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Beniers 49.4% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 59.3%
Defensive zone
Beniers 52.8%
Neutral zone
Beniers 58.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Bedard
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bedard
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
48.9% (833)
-4.7%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
58.3% (36)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
50.0% (32)
+3.8%
On power play, Bedard has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Bedard
Beniers
Home
50.7% (223)
52.4% (460)
Away
42.2% (270)
46.0% (441)
By Period
Bedard
Beniers
P1
40.8%
48.4%
P2
48.2%
51.1%
P3
48.0%
47.8%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |