Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Granlund 47.0% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 69.2%
Defensive zone
Granlund 87.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 82.4%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Bedard
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bedard
Granlund
Last 5: Bedard 4-1 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bedard
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
46.7% (885)
-7.8%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
44.9% (69)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
49.0% (98)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Granlund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Bedard
Granlund
Home
40.2% (246)
51.1% (495)
Away
37.8% (286)
42.9% (557)
By Period
Bedard
Granlund
P1
39.9%
49.9%
P2
38.5%
46.4%
P3
39.0%
44.3%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |