Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Bedard 69.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.1%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Bedard
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
48.9% (280)
-4.7%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
50.0% (6)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
47.2% (36)
+6.6%
On power play, Bedard has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Bedard is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Bedard shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Bedard
Bjugstad
Home
50.7% (223)
48.4% (190)
Away
42.2% (270)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Bedard
Bjugstad
P1
40.8%
41.7%
P2
48.2%
56.6%
P3
48.0%
48.7%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%