Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Roy 47.2% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 67.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 89.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 74.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Bedard
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Bedard
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
0
Bedard
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
47.5% (617)
-8.6%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
39.6% (53)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
46.4% (97)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Bedard is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Bedard shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Bedard
Roy
Home
40.2% (246)
47.2% (398)
Away
37.8% (286)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Bedard
Roy
P1
39.9%
48.6%
P2
38.5%
48.8%
P3
39.0%
43.9%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |