Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Byfield 45.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Bedard leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 61.3%
Defensive zone
Byfield 63.1%
Neutral zone
Byfield 61.2%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Bedard
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Bedard
Byfield
Last 10: Bedard 7-3 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Byfield
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Byfield
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
1
Bedard
Byfield
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
46.5% (759)
-2.3%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
50.0% (58)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
35.1% (148)
+18.7%
On power play, Bedard has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Byfield is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Bedard
Byfield
Home
50.7% (223)
46.2% (442)
Away
42.2% (270)
44.0% (523)
By Period
Bedard
Byfield
P1
40.8%
44.1%
P2
48.2%
43.5%
P3
48.0%
47.7%
OT
57.1%
39.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:08 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |