Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bedard on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 39.8% vs Byfield 44.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 64.3%
Defensive zone
Bedard 65.1%
Neutral zone
Bedard 65.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Bedard
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Bedard
Byfield
Last 8: Bedard 3-5 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
2
Bedard
Byfield
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
0
Bedard
Byfield
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
3
Bedard
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (618)
44.5% (853)
-6.5%
Power Play
38.7% (31)
42.9% (21)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
38.2% (68)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Bedard is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Bedard shoots right. Byfield is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Bedard
Byfield
Home
40.5% (316)
43.8% (502)
Away
36.2% (340)
44.3% (440)
By Period
Bedard
Byfield
P1
37.2%
44.2%
P2
36.9%
43.0%
P3
40.7%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
43.4%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.3%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:42 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 05:45 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |