Connor Bedard vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Bedard wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 91.9%
Defensive zone
Bedard 92.8%
Neutral zone
Bedard 95.0%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Bedard
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
14
(18 meetings)
4
14
Bedard
Karlsson
Last 10: Bedard 2-8 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
3
1
Bedard
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
9
Bedard
Karlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
4
Bedard
Karlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
51.8% (7,849)
-11.7%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
54.8% (1,048)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
44.2% (1,109)
+5.8%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Bedard shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Bedard
Karlsson
Home
43.3% (785)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
38.5% (896)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Bedard
Karlsson
P1
39.0%
50.3%
P2
40.7%
51.3%
P3
42.6%
52.4%
OT
42.9%
44.9%
Final 5 min
44.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | William Karlsson |