Connor Bedard vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-17.3%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 88.2%
Defensive zone
Bedard 83.6%
Neutral zone
Bedard 89.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Bedard
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Bedard
Karlsson
Last 10: Bedard 2-8 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
1
Bedard
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
6
Bedard
Karlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Bedard
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
56.3% (739)
-17.4%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
58.6% (181)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.2% (53)
-22.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Bedard
Karlsson
Home
40.2% (246)
56.5% (462)
Away
37.8% (286)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Bedard
Karlsson
P1
39.9%
57.1%
P2
38.5%
55.2%
P3
39.0%
56.7%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | William Karlsson |