Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 43.3% vs Staal 51.1% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 54.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.0%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Brown
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Brown
Staal
Last 5: Brown 3-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brown
2
1
Brown
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (115)
51.0% (930)
-11.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
54.4% (125)
-54.4%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
48.3% (60)
-9.4%
On power play, Staal has a +54.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Brown is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Brown shoots right. Staal is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (443).
Home / Away
Brown
Staal
Home
40.8% (71)
53.5% (561)
Away
37.0% (81)
48.9% (554)
By Period
Brown
Staal
P1
35.5%
50.1%
P2
40.4%
50.3%
P3
44.8%
53.1%
OT
25.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
36.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
38.8%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2017 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Connor Brown |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Connor Brown |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Brown |