Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.1% vs Staal 50.6% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 89.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 69.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 81.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 83.8%
16.2%
83.8%
Brown
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Brown
Staal
Last 6: Brown 4-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brown
2
1
Brown
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (313)
50.5% (10,347)
-11.8%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
53.5% (2,023)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (217)
44.2% (781)
-6.4%
On power play, Staal has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Brown shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Home / Away
Brown
Staal
Home
41.5% (246)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
35.6% (303)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Brown
Staal
P1
35.3%
50.0%
P2
40.6%
51.1%
P3
38.6%
50.4%
OT
37.5%
55.2%
Final 5 min
37.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
38.3%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Connor Brown |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Connor Brown |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Connor Brown |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Brown |