Scouting Report
Kevin Porter holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Porter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.1% vs Porter 41.2% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Porter 50.6%
Defensive zone
Porter 52.3%
Neutral zone
Brown 56.1%
Result
Connor Brown favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Brown
Porter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Porter
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (313)
39.2% (469)
-0.5%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
55.6% (18)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (217)
36.2% (47)
+1.6%
On power play, Porter has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Porter shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Brown shoots right. Porter is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Brown
Porter
Home
41.5% (246)
41.6% (274)
Away
35.6% (303)
37.3% (260)
By Period
Brown
Porter
P1
35.3%
37.1%
P2
40.6%
44.9%
P3
38.6%
36.7%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.6%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
38.3%
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
39.5%