Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Brown wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.1% vs Stastny 55.1% (-16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Brown
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Brown
Stastny
Last 9: Brown 5-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Brown
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
5
0
Brown
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Brown
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (312)
54.6% (10,616)
-15.8%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
59.1% (1,994)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (217)
52.9% (1,119)
-15.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Brown is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Brown shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Brown
Stastny
Home
41.6% (245)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
35.6% (303)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Brown
Stastny
P1
35.5%
56.3%
P2
40.6%
55.4%
P3
38.6%
53.5%
OT
37.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
37.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
38.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Connor Brown |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Connor Brown |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Connor Brown |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Connor Brown |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Connor Brown |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |