Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 36.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 42.1% vs Stastny 55.4% (-20.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 91.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 65.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 77.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Brown
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Brown
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Brown
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
2
0
Brown
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (44)
59.2% (370)
-18.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
40.9% (44)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (87)
51.7% (58)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Brown is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Brown shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Brown
Stastny
Home
40.0% (55)
57.7% (215)
Away
33.3% (78)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Brown
Stastny
P1
37.8%
57.7%
P2
35.4%
54.2%
P3
34.8%
57.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
25.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
36.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Connor Brown |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Connor Brown |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |