Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.1% vs Crosby 53.5% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 59.1%
Defensive zone
Brown 87.3%
Neutral zone
Brown 81.4%
Result
Connor Brown favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Brown
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Brown
Crosby
Last 7: Brown 2-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Brown
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Brown
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (313)
52.8% (17,990)
-14.1%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
57.4% (4,733)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (217)
47.1% (765)
-9.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Brown shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Brown
Crosby
Home
41.5% (246)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
35.6% (303)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Brown
Crosby
P1
35.3%
53.6%
P2
40.6%
53.9%
P3
38.6%
53.3%
OT
37.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
37.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
38.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Connor Brown |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Connor Brown |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |