Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 36.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 42.1% vs Jost 42.2% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Brown 51.4%
Defensive zone
Jost 56.3%
Neutral zone
Jost 52.0%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Brown
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (44)
40.8% (314)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
37.5% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (87)
39.4% (104)
-6.1%
On power play, Brown has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Brown is 36.7% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Brown shoots right. Jost is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Brown
Jost
Home
40.0% (55)
42.8% (264)
Away
33.3% (78)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Brown
Jost
P1
37.8%
37.4%
P2
35.4%
40.5%
P3
34.8%
43.3%
Final 5 min
25.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
36.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%