Connor Bunnaman vs Dawson Mercer
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor Bunnaman holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bunnaman on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bunnaman wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bunnaman 48.9% vs Mercer 39.9% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bunnaman 77.4%
Defensive zone
Bunnaman 95.7%
Neutral zone
Bunnaman 82.5%
Result
Connor Bunnaman favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Bunnaman
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Bunnaman
Mercer
Last 5: Bunnaman 5-0 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bunnaman
1
0
Bunnaman
Mercer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bunnaman
4
0
Bunnaman
Mercer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bunnaman
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (290)
39.1% (1,412)
+10.2%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
41.1% (90)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
40.0% (45)
+15.6%
On power play, Mercer has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Bunnaman is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Bunnaman shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Home / Away
Bunnaman
Mercer
Home
49.0% (145)
40.0% (755)
Away
48.1% (162)
38.5% (792)
By Period
Bunnaman
Mercer
P1
47.4%
38.2%
P2
51.8%
39.2%
P3
45.9%
41.1%
Final 5 min
48.7%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bunnaman
52.0%▼
54.5%
48.5%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Connor Bunnaman |