Scouting Report
Connor Bunnaman holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bunnaman on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bunnaman wins 69.2% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bunnaman 51.7% vs Mercer 37.5% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bunnaman 83.0%
Defensive zone
Bunnaman 96.8%
Neutral zone
Bunnaman 83.9%
Result
Connor Bunnaman favored at 86.5%
86.5%
13.5%
Bunnaman
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Bunnaman
Mercer
Last 5: Bunnaman 5-0 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bunnaman
1
0
Bunnaman
Mercer
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bunnaman
4
0
Bunnaman
Mercer
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bunnaman
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (98)
35.4% (548)
+19.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
42.9% (35)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
0.0% (7)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Bunnaman has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Bunnaman is 69.2% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Bunnaman shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Bunnaman
Mercer
Home
54.7% (53)
39.9% (283)
Away
51.9% (54)
31.3% (307)
By Period
Bunnaman
Mercer
P1
52.8%
37.7%
P2
53.7%
32.1%
P3
53.3%
37.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bunnaman
52.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Connor Bunnaman |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Connor Bunnaman |