Scouting Report
Eetu Luostarinen holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Luostarinen 52.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 84.1%
Defensive zone
Dewar 59.5%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 57.2%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Dewar
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dewar
Luostarinen
Last 5: Dewar 3-2 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
0
2
Dewar
Luostarinen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
3
0
Dewar
Luostarinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
53.6% (153)
-7.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
45.5% (11)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
60.0% (15)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Luostarinen has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. Luostarinen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Dewar
Luostarinen
Home
43.9% (189)
53.3% (92)
Away
49.3% (221)
54.0% (87)
By Period
Dewar
Luostarinen
P1
50.4%
52.2%
P2
50.0%
49.1%
P3
40.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
62.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Luostarinen
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |