Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.7% vs Lindholm 54.8% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 61.4%
Defensive zone
Dewar 82.4%
Neutral zone
Dewar 72.0%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Dewar
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dewar
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Dewar
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (28)
54.4% (722)
-0.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
62.2% (164)
+37.8%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
49.4% (83)
-18.6%
On power play, Dewar has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Dewar is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Dewar shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Dewar
Lindholm
Home
42.1% (19)
55.8% (541)
Away
44.4% (36)
54.7% (428)
By Period
Dewar
Lindholm
P1
52.6%
54.8%
P2
31.8%
55.7%
P3
53.8%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
43.6%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |