Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Svechkov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Svechkov 41.4% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 81.2%
Defensive zone
Dewar 69.5%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 53.9%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Dewar
Svechkov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dewar
Svechkov
Last 5: Dewar 2-3 Svechkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
0
1
Dewar
Svechkov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Svechkov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Svechkov
0
2
Dewar
Svechkov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Svechkov
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
40.4% (748)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
41.2% (17)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
25.0% (8)
+16.8%
On power play, Dewar has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Svechkov shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Svechkov is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Home / Away
Dewar
Svechkov
Home
43.4% (588)
39.2% (393)
Away
46.8% (637)
41.3% (380)
By Period
Dewar
Svechkov
P1
43.9%
35.6%
P2
47.1%
45.0%
P3
44.3%
40.2%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |