Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Svechkov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs Svechkov 39.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 85.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 68.3%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 60.6%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Dewar
Svechkov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dewar
Svechkov
Last 5: Dewar 2-3 Svechkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
0
1
Dewar
Svechkov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Svechkov
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Svechkov
0
2
Dewar
Svechkov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Svechkov
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
36.8% (318)
+3.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
42.9% (14)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
0.0% (3)
+48.4%
On power play, Dewar has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Svechkov shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Dewar shoots left. Svechkov is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Dewar
Svechkov
Home
41.0% (78)
37.0% (181)
Away
45.7% (46)
36.4% (154)
By Period
Dewar
Svechkov
P1
38.9%
35.1%
P2
53.3%
44.4%
P3
34.9%
30.8%
Final 5 min
42.9%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |