Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Drury shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Drury 57.0% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 58.8%
Defensive zone
Dewar 76.0%
Neutral zone
Dewar 73.0%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Dewar
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Dewar
Drury
Last 9: Dewar 3-6 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
Dewar
Drury
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
3
2
Dewar
Drury
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
0
2
Dewar
Drury
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
58.0% (1,975)
-12.6%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
58.5% (118)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
52.1% (292)
-10.3%
On even strength, Drury has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Home / Away
Dewar
Drury
Home
43.4% (588)
58.3% (1,212)
Away
46.8% (637)
56.3% (1,173)
By Period
Dewar
Drury
P1
43.9%
56.0%
P2
47.1%
58.6%
P3
44.3%
57.0%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:25 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 17:15 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:40 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |