Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs McBain 46.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 56.0%
Defensive zone
Dewar 57.5%
Neutral zone
Dewar 53.9%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Dewar
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Dewar
McBain
Last 10: Dewar 4-6 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
2
5
Dewar
McBain
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
48.0% (2,298)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
49.0% (51)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
35.7% (308)
+6.1%
On power play, Dewar has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
Home / Away
Dewar
McBain
Home
43.4% (588)
49.0% (1,359)
Away
46.8% (637)
44.0% (1,298)
By Period
Dewar
McBain
P1
43.9%
46.7%
P2
47.1%
47.5%
P3
44.3%
45.6%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |