Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs McBain 45.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 59.9%
Defensive zone
Dewar 50.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Dewar
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dewar
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Dewar
McBain
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
46.3% (568)
-0.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
37.5% (8)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
37.8% (74)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Dewar
McBain
Home
43.9% (189)
50.6% (330)
Away
49.3% (221)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Dewar
McBain
P1
50.4%
45.4%
P2
50.0%
44.5%
P3
40.8%
45.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Jack McBain |