Connor Dewar vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs Pageau 58.7% (-16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 86.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 61.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 72.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Dewar
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dewar
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Dewar
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
59.6% (711)
-19.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
64.0% (114)
+36.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
56.4% (163)
-8.0%
On power play, Dewar has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Dewar is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Dewar shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Dewar
Pageau
Home
41.0% (78)
59.3% (506)
Away
45.7% (46)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Dewar
Pageau
P1
38.9%
56.8%
P2
53.3%
64.4%
P3
34.9%
56.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |