Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Kadri 49.0% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 83.9%
Defensive zone
Dewar 71.8%
Neutral zone
Dewar 51.8%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Dewar
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dewar
Kadri
Last 5: Dewar 3-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Dewar
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
47.7% (975)
-1.5%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
54.0% (226)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
On power play, Kadri has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Dewar
Kadri
Home
43.9% (189)
48.3% (621)
Away
49.3% (221)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Dewar
Kadri
P1
50.4%
48.1%
P2
50.0%
48.9%
P3
40.8%
49.8%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |