Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 56.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 68.9%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Dewar
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Dewar
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
50.7% (906)
-4.5%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
48.1% (108)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
44.4% (239)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Dewar has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Dewar is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dewar shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Dewar
Bjugstad
Home
43.9% (189)
49.8% (643)
Away
49.3% (221)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Dewar
Bjugstad
P1
50.4%
49.4%
P2
50.0%
50.5%
P3
40.8%
47.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |