Scouting Report
Connor Dewar holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Sundqvist 43.1% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 66.7%
Defensive zone
Dewar 62.3%
Neutral zone
Dewar 68.2%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Dewar
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dewar
Sundqvist
Last 6: Dewar 4-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Sundqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
41.3% (492)
+4.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
56.3% (16)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
43.2% (81)
+6.8%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Dewar is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dewar shoots left. Sundqvist is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Dewar
Sundqvist
Home
43.9% (189)
43.3% (275)
Away
49.3% (221)
40.8% (314)
By Period
Dewar
Sundqvist
P1
50.4%
43.3%
P2
50.0%
41.8%
P3
40.8%
40.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |