Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 45.7%). Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.7% vs Krebs 45.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 60.4%
Defensive zone
Dewar 57.4%
Neutral zone
Dewar 54.1%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Dewar
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dewar
Krebs
Last 5: Dewar 4-1 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Dewar
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
0
Dewar
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (990)
45.9% (2,117)
-0.5%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
52.5% (99)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (180)
39.0% (164)
+4.3%
On power play, Dewar has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Dewar shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Home / Away
Dewar
Krebs
Home
43.7% (575)
45.5% (1,166)
Away
46.9% (618)
45.9% (1,214)
By Period
Dewar
Krebs
P1
43.5%
45.6%
P2
48.1%
46.3%
P3
44.3%
45.1%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
45.3%
Krebs
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |