Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Thomas 51.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Dewar leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 91.1%
Defensive zone
Thomas 68.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 77.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Dewar
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Dewar
Thomas
Last 10: Dewar 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
6
2
Dewar
Thomas
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
51.1% (5,350)
-5.7%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
55.8% (921)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
49.9% (691)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Dewar is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Dewar shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
Dewar
Thomas
Home
43.4% (588)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
46.8% (637)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
Dewar
Thomas
P1
43.9%
50.6%
P2
47.1%
52.9%
P3
44.3%
50.8%
OT
0.0%
59.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |