Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Thomas 52.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 90.8%
Defensive zone
Thomas 67.2%
Neutral zone
Thomas 73.1%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Dewar
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Dewar
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
4
0
Dewar
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
53.2% (1,166)
-7.0%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
56.9% (262)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
48.4% (221)
+1.6%
On power play, Thomas has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Dewar is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dewar shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Dewar
Thomas
Home
43.9% (189)
51.6% (830)
Away
49.3% (221)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Dewar
Thomas
P1
50.4%
52.7%
P2
50.0%
55.6%
P3
40.8%
50.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |