Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.7% vs McLeod 47.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 55.5%
Defensive zone
Dewar 50.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.5%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Dewar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dewar
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Dewar
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (28)
49.2% (796)
+4.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
44.8% (87)
+55.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
43.3% (263)
-12.5%
On power play, Dewar has a +55.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dewar is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Dewar shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Dewar
McLeod
Home
42.1% (19)
49.2% (575)
Away
44.4% (36)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Dewar
McLeod
P1
52.6%
52.8%
P2
31.8%
45.1%
P3
53.8%
45.6%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
43.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |