Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs McLeod 49.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 66.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 60.5%
Neutral zone
Dewar 56.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Dewar
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Dewar
McLeod
Last 8: Dewar 4-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Dewar
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dewar
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
50.4% (3,345)
-5.0%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
51.0% (292)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
44.3% (635)
-2.5%
On power play, Dewar has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Dewar
McLeod
Home
43.4% (588)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
46.8% (637)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Dewar
McLeod
P1
43.9%
50.8%
P2
47.1%
48.4%
P3
44.3%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:09 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:21 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |