Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dewar on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs Bennett 46.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 82.5%
Defensive zone
Dewar 67.7%
Neutral zone
Bennett 62.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Dewar
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dewar
Bennett
Last 7: Dewar 4-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Dewar
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dewar
3
2
Dewar
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
46.5% (909)
-6.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
43.1% (51)
+56.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
38.5% (13)
+9.9%
On power play, Dewar has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Dewar shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Dewar
Bennett
Home
41.0% (78)
45.4% (449)
Away
45.7% (46)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Dewar
Bennett
P1
38.9%
49.6%
P2
53.3%
43.7%
P3
34.9%
45.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |