Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 48.1% vs Carrick 49.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 52.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 50.9%
Neutral zone
Dewar 55.1%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Dewar
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dewar
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Dewar
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (114)
48.9% (352)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
81.3% (16)
-31.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
42.2% (45)
+10.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dewar is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Dewar shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Dewar
Carrick
Home
45.3% (64)
46.9% (192)
Away
47.8% (69)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Dewar
Carrick
P1
33.3%
48.1%
P2
44.2%
50.0%
P3
64.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |