Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Laughton 50.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 58.6%
Defensive zone
Dewar 59.0%
Neutral zone
Dewar 50.8%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Dewar
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Dewar
Laughton
Last 8: Dewar 4-4 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
1
0
Dewar
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Dewar
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Dewar
Laughton
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
50.9% (5,383)
-5.5%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
52.6% (327)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
46.6% (887)
-4.8%
On power play, Dewar has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Laughton is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,329).
Home / Away
Dewar
Laughton
Home
43.4% (588)
51.2% (3,255)
Away
46.8% (637)
49.6% (3,342)
By Period
Dewar
Laughton
P1
43.9%
49.2%
P2
47.1%
52.9%
P3
44.3%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
39.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |