Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dewar wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Couturier 53.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 59.4%
Defensive zone
Dewar 78.7%
Neutral zone
Dewar 63.1%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Dewar
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dewar
Couturier
Last 6: Dewar 2-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Dewar
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Dewar
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
53.8% (1,003)
-7.6%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
56.4% (202)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
42.7% (89)
+7.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Dewar is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Dewar shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Dewar
Couturier
Home
43.9% (189)
54.4% (680)
Away
49.3% (221)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Dewar
Couturier
P1
50.4%
56.3%
P2
50.0%
51.8%
P3
40.8%
52.2%
Final 5 min
52.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Connor Dewar |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |