Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.5% vs Matthias 46.6% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Matthias 67.3%
Defensive zone
Dewar 65.0%
Neutral zone
Dewar 53.6%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Dewar
Matthias
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,008)
46.4% (1,716)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.9% (23)
56.3% (103)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (194)
41.7% (175)
+0.1%
On power play, Dewar has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Dewar is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Dewar shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Home / Away
Dewar
Matthias
Home
43.4% (588)
46.9% (933)
Away
46.8% (637)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Dewar
Matthias
P1
43.9%
47.8%
P2
47.1%
49.4%
P3
44.3%
41.6%
OT
0.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
45.1%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%