Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dewar wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 45.1% vs Blueger 51.7% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 84.4%
Defensive zone
Dewar 61.8%
Neutral zone
Dewar 65.2%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Dewar
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Dewar
Blueger
Last 9: Dewar 3-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Dewar
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
2
1
Dewar
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
4
Dewar
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (443)
54.1% (425)
-8.7%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
100.0% (6)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
43.8% (144)
-15.0%
On power play, Blueger has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Dewar shoots left. Blueger is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Dewar
Blueger
Home
43.3% (238)
52.5% (282)
Away
44.9% (265)
51.5% (293)
By Period
Dewar
Blueger
P1
41.7%
49.2%
P2
46.1%
57.2%
P3
44.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
44.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.1%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Connor Dewar |