Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 47.5% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 56.9%
Defensive zone
Dewar 87.2%
Neutral zone
Dewar 81.3%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Dewar
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dewar
Trocheck
Last 5: Dewar 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Dewar
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dewar
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Dewar
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (331)
57.6% (1,061)
-11.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
65.1% (338)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
49.5% (101)
+0.5%
On power play, Trocheck has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Dewar is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Dewar shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Dewar
Trocheck
Home
43.9% (189)
61.8% (735)
Away
49.3% (221)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Dewar
Trocheck
P1
50.4%
57.7%
P2
50.0%
57.9%
P3
40.8%
60.4%
Final 5 min
52.0%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:20 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |