Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Dewar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dewar 46.0% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dewar 62.3%
Defensive zone
Dewar 82.7%
Neutral zone
Dewar 76.9%
Result
Connor Dewar favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Dewar
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Dewar
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Dewar
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Dewar
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dewar
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
58.6% (597)
-18.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.9% (57)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (31)
51.9% (52)
-3.5%
On power play, Dewar has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Dewar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (97).
Dewar shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Dewar
Karlsson
Home
41.0% (78)
59.6% (344)
Away
45.7% (46)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Dewar
Karlsson
P1
38.9%
53.1%
P2
53.3%
62.1%
P3
34.9%
60.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dewar
44.0%▬
43.5%
42.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:08 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | William Karlsson |