Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McDavid wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 43.9% vs Helm 51.2% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 54.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 58.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
McDavid
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McDavid
Helm
Last 9: McDavid 3-6 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Helm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Helm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
1
4
McDavid
Helm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (750)
51.3% (343)
-8.0%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
63.6% (44)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
36.4% (33)
+5.5%
On power play, Helm has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. McDavid is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
McDavid shoots left. Helm is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
McDavid
Helm
Home
48.7% (413)
54.7% (212)
Away
37.4% (393)
48.1% (208)
By Period
McDavid
Helm
P1
38.8%
49.7%
P2
46.8%
52.6%
P3
44.2%
52.5%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
43.2%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:22 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |