Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Helm 45.9% (+9.5%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 79.3%
Defensive zone
Helm 69.0%
Neutral zone
Helm 50.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
McDavid
Helm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
46.7% (135)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
40.8% (98)
-7.5%
On even strength, McDavid has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Helm is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
McDavid
Helm
Home
53.6% (507)
45.7% (105)
Away
53.8% (539)
43.0% (128)
By Period
McDavid
Helm
P1
52.6%
42.1%
P2
54.1%
41.0%
P3
54.9%
50.6%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
44.2%